The NFL playoffs begin this weekend with Six matches split between Saturday and Monday. With the Super Bowl still five weeks away, it’s not too early to bet on who you think will win the big game. It’s also not too early to bet on who you think will earn Super Bowl MVP honors.
The Kansas City Chiefs are the current favorites to win the Super Bowl after earning a first-round bye as the No. 1 seed in the AFC. following, Patrick Mahomes opened as the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl MVP at +375.
If you choose to be the Super Bowl MVP now, you get a better chance. Of course, there’s the risk that the player you’re betting on won’t even make the Super Bowl. Take Mahomes, for example. If the Chiefs qualify for the Super Bowl, Mahomes will be one of the favorites to win the MVP title. If you’re waiting for the Super Bowl to bet, instead of getting +375 odds available now, you’ll probably be betting something like -140 with Mahomes. By waiting to bet, you remove the risk of betting on a player who does not even participate in the game. Everyone’s risk tolerance is different.
Current Super Bowl MVP Favorites
Only once in Super Bowl history has the MVP winner not been a member of the winning team. Therefore, the first step in handicapping a Super Bowl MVP is deciding which teams have a legitimate chance of winning it all. This is obviously reflected in the odds. Few people would consider Brock Purdy a better quarterback than Justin Herbertbut since San Francisco 49ers have a much better chance of winning the Super Bowl than Los Angeles ChargersPurdy’s chances of winning the Super Bowl MVP title are better than Herbert’s.
Here is Top 30 favorites to win Super Bowl MVP at BetMGM before the playoffs:
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Patrick Mahomes (+375)
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Josh Allen (+500)
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Jalen hurts (+650)
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Joe Terrier (+900)
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Brock Purdy (+900)
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Christian McCaffrey (14 to 1)
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Dak Prescott (16 to 1)
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Justin Herbert (25 to 1)
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Travis Kelsey (28 to 1)
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Single diviner (28 to 1)
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Tom Brady (30 to 1)
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Stephen Digg (30 to 1)
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Deep Samuel (30 to 1)
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Lamar Jackson (40 to 1)
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Kirk Cousins (40 to 1)
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Nick Bosa (50 to 1)
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Trevor Lawrence (50 to 1)
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Ja’Marr Chase (50 to 1)
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AJ Brown (50 to 1)
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Tua Tagovailoa (66 to 1)
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Daniel Jones (66 to 1)
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Devonta Smith (66 to 1)
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Austin Ekeler (80 to 1)
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Saquon Barkley (80 to 1)
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Geno Smith (80 to 1)
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George Kittle (80 to 1)
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Justin Jefferson (100 to 1)
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Lamb Ceded (100 to 1)
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Jerick McKinnon (100 to 1)
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Micah Parsons (125 to 1)
Super Bowl MVP Story
Cooper Kupp won the Super Bowl MVP title last season after catching eight passes for 92 yards and two touchdowns. One of those touchdowns was the game-winning score with 1:25 left on the clock. Kupp became the eighth wide receiver to win the award, which is the most of any non-quarterback position. Prior to Kupp, Julian Edelman was the most recent receiver to win the award in 2019. Two of the past four winners have been wide receivers.
Of course, the quarterbacks dominate the day. Of 57 Super Bowl MVPs, 31 have been awarded to quarterbacks. Tom Brady has won the award five times, making him the all-time Super Bowl MVP leader. Brady is 30 to 1 to win it this year. The quarterbacks are the top five favorites in the current odds standings.
A running back has won the award seven times, making him the third most common position to win the award. However, a running back hasn’t won the Super Bowl MVP since Terrell Davis in 1998 for the Denver Broncos. Christian McCaffrey at 14 to 1 may seem like an attractive bet, but recent history is not on his side.
Ten defensive players have won the award, the most recent being Von Miller in Super Bowl 50 as a member of the Denver Broncos. Nick Bosa of the San Francisco 49ers is the only defensive player with odds higher than 125 to 1. Bosa is 50 to 1 to win the prize.
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